Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin - High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series

Rumble in the Jungle 2019

09.10. - 13.10.2019 

Buckow, Germany

 

Organization and Contact Information

Wolfgang Härdle
Raphael Reule

IRTG 1792
Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
Dorotheenstr 1
10117 Berlin, Germany
 

Tel.: +49 - 30 - 2093 99469
E-Mail:

irtg1792.wiwi@hu-berlin.de

 

 

 

IRTG Short Course

 

László Györfi

Department of Computer Science and Information Theory
Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Informatics
Budapest University of Technology and Economics

Phone: +36-1-4633146
Fax: +36-1-4633147
e-mail: gyorfi[at]cs.bme.hu

 

 

Venue

Strandhotel Vier Jahreszeiten

Ringstraße 5-6

15377 Buckow (Märkische Schweiz)

 

 

Participants

 

HUB                                                      

Wolfgang Härdle 

                   

Bruno Spilak

Elena Ivanova

Junjie HU

Daniel Jacob

Min-Bin LIN

Kainat Khowaja

Konstantin Häusler

Wendy WANG

Georg Keilbar

Anna Shchekina

Elizaveta Zinovyeva

Vanessa Guarino

Marius Sterling

Raphael Reule

 

 

Berlin School of Economics and Law, FRG

 

Francis LIU

 

Xiamen University, CN

 

Yinggang ZHOU

Yanfen ZHANG

 

 

Budapest University of Technology and Economics, HU

 

László Györfi

 

 

PricewaterhouseCoopers Düsseldorf, FRG

 

Sergej Sizov

Danial Saef

 

 

John Von Neumann Institute, VN

 

Nguyen Minh David Duong

 

 

Chinese Academy of Sciences, CN

 

Rui REN

 

 

Schedule

Note for Time Slot Arrangement:

 

The time slot for every regular-talk is 30-minute = a 25-minute presentation + a 5-minute discussion.

The time slot for every short-talk is 20-minute = a 15-minute presentation + a 5-minute discussion.

Each discussion will be led by an audience chosen randomly. (Everyone has a chance to give her/his/diverse opinion)

 

Day

Time

Speaker                

Title                                       

Wednesday
(09.10.2019)

12:00

Arrival
Canapé's on site 

1st  Session, Chair: Raphael Reule

13:00-13:10

Welcome

Prof. Wolfgang K. Härdle

13:10-14:30

Newcomer Introduction "Map/Food/Smiles"

Anna Shchekina, Vanessa Guarino,
Lili Matic, Kainat Khowaja,
Min-Bin LIN, Konstantin Häusler, Danial Saef,
Nguyen Minh David Duong, Francis LIU, Wolfgang K. Härdle

14:30-15:00

Keynote Talk - Sergej Sizov

The Harmony of Double Diamond:
Next-Generation Research and Development

15:00-16:40

Short course I - László Györfi

Growth optimal portfolio selection

Poster

16:40-17:00

Coffee Break

2nd  Session, Chair: Georg Keilbar

17:00-18:10

Short course II - László Györfi

Growth optimal portfolio selection

Poster

 

Cool-Down Session

18:10-18:40

Finnish Sauna
(With Spanking and Kalakukko)

Russian Sauna
(With branch beatings for health and pleasure - thank you Egor!)

19:00-22:00

Ristorante Castello Angelo
Wriezener Str. 59, 15377 Buckow

 

Thursday (10.10.2019)

1st  Session, Chair: Raphael Reule

09:15-09:30

Newcomer Introduction "Map/Food/Smiles"

Lili Matic, Nguyen Minh David Duong, Francis LIU

09:30-09:50

Anna Shchekina Asian option pricing using graphics processing units
9:50-10:10 Kainat Khowaja Model Order Reduction by Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD)
10:10-10:30 Min-Bin LIN Optimization for resource allocation in business processes
10:30-10:50 Vanessa Guarino A Risk Management Approach mixing Machine Learning Signals via Entropy Pooling
10:50-11:00 Coffee Break

2nd  Session, Chair: Daniel Jacob

11:00-11:20

Konstantin Häusler

The Impact Of Labour Markets On Fertility: An Empirical Analysis Of Western Europe

11:20-11:40

Francis LIU

Applying Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient in Stock Trading

11:40-12:00 Elena Ivanova Advances in the risk preference world: Rank Dependent Quantile Preference

Excursion / Lunch

12:00-15:00

Pritzhagener Mühle, 
Lindenstraße 74, 15377 Oberbarnim

15:00-16:00

IRTG Meeting at Pritzhagener Mühle

Teaching WT 19/20 (REN, YZ, MS, EZ, MBL, AS, ...)

3rd  Session, Chair: Rui Ren

16:00-16:20 Marius Sterling LOB price prediction with DL and its interpretation
16:20-16:40 Daniel Jacob Heterogeneous treatment effects from tenure on job satisfaction
16:40-17:00 Junjie HU Risk of Bitcoin Market: Volatility, Jumps, and Forecasts
17:00-17:20 Wendy WANG K-Expectile clustering
17:20-17:40 Yinggang Zhou Are cryptocurrencies are safe haven?

18:20-22:00

BBQ Terrace Dinner
Terasse, Seezimmer, Herrenzimmer

 

Friday
(11.10.2019)

1st  Session, Chair: Wendy WANG

09:30-09:50 Elizaveta Zinovyeva,
Raphael Reule
Classifying Smart Contracts

09:50-10:10

Rui REN

Financial Risk Meter in Expectile

10:10-10:30

Yanfen Zhang, Georg Keilbar

Cointegration and Cryptocurrency Dynamics

10:30-10:50

Coffee Break and Checkout

2nd  Session, Chair: Elena Ivanova

10:50-11:10

Bruno Spilak

Tail risk protection: ML vs GARCH

11:10-11:30

Danial Saef

Price Jumps in Cryptocurrencies

11:30-11:50 Nguyen Minh David Duong Portfolio Optimisation in classical Markowitz risk-reward and beyond in stochastic and machine learning settings
12:00-12:20

Voting and Rewarding of the

"Best doctoral researcher RIJ talk"

12:30

Departure
(Lunch Boxes provided)

 

 

 

 



 

 

Waldsieversdorf

Location (transfer by bike / car):

 

Venue

Sanatorium / Führungsakademie/ Lazarett / Parteischule  Waldsieversdorf

Kindermannstraße 1, 15377 Waldsieversdorf

 

 

Participants

HUB

 

Wolfgang Härdle

Cathy Chen

Weining Wang

Vladimir Spokoiny

 

Egor Klochkov

Niels Wesselhöft

Jovanka Lili Matic

Junjie Jeremy Hu

Awdesch Melzer

Michael Althof

Daniel Jacob

Marius Sterling

Ioana Ceausu

Elena Ivanova

Bruno Spilak
Ya Qian

Raphael Reule

 

 

London School of Economics, UK

 

Filippo Pellegrino

Alice Pignatelli Di Cerchiara

 

 

Berlin School of Economics and Law, FRG

 

Natalie Packham

 

 

PricewaterhouseCoopers Düsseldorf, FRG

 

Danial Saef

 

 

Aarhus University, DK

 

Timo Teräsvirta

 

Warsaw University of Technology, PL

 

Anna Patrycja Zalewska

 

Schedule

 

Day

Time

Speaker

Title

Friday (11.10.2019)

11:00-14:00

Arrival, Registration & Lunch

1st  Session, Chair: Raphael Reule

14:00-14:05

Wolfgang Härdle

Welcome Speech

14:20-14:40

Filippo Pellegrino

CoVaR - do's and dont's of stress-testing

14:40-15:10

Anna Zalewska

Varying Random Coefficient Models

15:10-15:40

Discussion / Coffee Break

2nd  Session: Short-course

15:40-17:10

Short course III - Weining Wang

Using GEE to estimate nonlinear models with spatial data

17:10-17:20 Coffee Break
17:20-18:40

Short course IV - Natalie Packham

Extreme Value Theory - with applications in stress testing

19:00

Dinner

 

Saturday
(11.10.2019)

1st  Session, Chair: Junjie Hu

09:20-09:50

Alice Pignatelli Di Cerchiara

Product Embeddings in Product Choice Modeling

09:50-10:10

Awdesch Melzer

Pricing Green Financial Productsmodel

10:10-10:30 Junjie Hu Quantlet Clustering

11:10-11:20

Coffee Break

2nd  Session, Chair: Awdesch Melzer

11:20-11:40

Cathy Chen

Sequential detection of structural changes in irregularly observed data

11:40-12:00

Daniel Jacob

Causal Inference and Machine Learning

12:00-12:20

Ya Qian

Localizing multivariate CAViaR

12:30-15:40

Lunch

Pritzhagener Mühle, Lindenstraße 74, 15377 Oberbarnim

3rd  Session: Short-course

16:00-17:30

Short course Va - Wolfgang K. Härdle

Mathematics of Statistical Methods

17:30-17:40 Coffee Break
17:40-18:40

Short course Vb - Wolfgang K. Härdle

Mathematics of Statistical Methods

19:30

Dinner

 

Sunday
(11.10.2019)

1st  Session, Chair: Marius Sterling

09:00-09:05

Raphael Reule

General Information

Clearing of rooms, Taxi Payment

09:05:09:10 Danial Saef  Introduction to Bloomberg Terminals

09:10-09:30

Niels Wesselhöft

Kelly in high dimensions

09:30-09:50

Filippo Pellegrino

A Model of the Fed’s View on Inflation

09:50-10:10

Marius Sterling

Is scientific performance a function of funds?

10:10-10:20 Clearing of rooms

10:20-10:40

Xinwen Ni

American Multi-Asset Option Pricing under Levy Copulae and Ballotta-Bonfigioli

10:40-11:00

Jovanka Lili Matic

Testing the rank of cojumps in high-frequency data with market microstructure noise

11:00-11:20 Egor Klochkov LASSO in TENAR

11:20-11:30

Coffee Break

2nd  Session, Chair: Niels Wesselhöft

11:30-11:50

Michael Althof

BEI Rates in practice

11:50-12:10 Elena Ivanova Dynamic Quantile Models of Rational Behavior

12:10-12:30

Ioana Ceausu

Statistics of Startups

13:00-14:00

Departure

Lunch box provided